Did you know that we have a new roller coaster ride opening right here in Tucson? Some have already been riding it and have raved about it’s extreme lifts, fast drops and corners that are taken at break-neck speed. Interested? It’s also known as the Tucson Real Estate Market. While in general it seems to be heading in a positive direction, there is much excitement along the way.

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Numbers are great, but it is what’s happening in the trenches right now that spells success or failure in the near future. I am personally experiencing a great deal of buyer traffic. I have 3 buyers closing on their homes this month alone. I am getting a lot more traffic on my listings, which, by the way, are all short sales at this point. I am getting contracts on two of my listings this week.

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We are still seeing a lot of upheaval in the economy in general and this has affected people’s confidence as well as their ability to make home purchases. On the other hand, interest rates for mortgage loans are at historic lows, which is enabling many home buyers to enter the market for the first time and take advantage of our current low pricing.

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Furthermore, Arizona is strapped for cash and is likely to look for sources of increased revenue in the very near future. But is double taxation on our homes really the answer? The Arizona Association of Realtors says “NO” which is why they are sponsoring the Protect Our Homes Amendment, Proposition 100.

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As has been the case for the last few months, we are seeing a lot of short sales and foreclosures selling, which brings down the volume. However, lots of homes are being sold, 934 in September alone. I don’t see any sign of the market slacking off in response to the economic turbulence, at least not here in Tucson. However, November and December will tell the more detailed story as homes that were already pending sold in September.

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One woman did not hesitate, but pulled the trigger on herself. Addie Polk of Akron, Ohio was apparently overwhelmed by the fact that she could not make her payments and was going to be foreclosed on and she shot herself as sherriffs were trying to serve her the foreclosure notice for the 30th time.

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If I calculate only using Sold listings versus Active Listings, we have an 8.6 month supply still active. I believe that number is more accurate and really reflects what sellers are experiencing out there right now.

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I mentioned last month that we are seeing increased difficulties and decreased cooperation from banks. This month I am working with a bank that seems to be motivated to get my short sale closed. If more banks become like-minded, short sales will remain attractive and things will keep moving. It’s a patchwork out there, though. Some banks are great, while others seem to be trying to lose money!

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Lately, however, I am watching many banks reject offers outright (even at amounts that they had previously accepted on the same property). With no opportunity to respond, the buyer is left either randomly increasing their offer in hopes that the bank will accept or simply walking away. Most buyers opt for the latter.

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At this point in the market, banks seem to have become increasingly skittish and this could be adding to a lower pending rate. If they continue to balk and back out at the last minute on the short sales, we will have a glut of foreclosures in 60-90 days which will bring down our values, but also provide great investment opportunities for buyers.

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